Investment Style — Michael Steinhardt

June 13th, 2010

Investment Style

Steinhardt had a long-term investor’s perspective but, for the most part, invested as a short-term strategic trader. He bet on directional moves using an eclectic mix of securities and was backed up by a team of traders and analysts. As mentioned above, he emphasized macro asset allocation type moves from which he harvested his gains. Charles Kirk, publisher of The Kirk Report, gleaned these “rules of investing” from a Steinhardt speech back in June, 2004, which show that even a high-flying hedge fund investor needs to be grounded:

Make all your mistakes early in life. The more tough lessons early on, the fewererrors you make later.
Always make your living doing something you enjoy.
Be intellectually competitive. The key to research is to assimilate as much data aspossible in order to be to the first to sense a major change.
Make good decisions even with incomplete information. You will never have all the information you need. What matters is what you do with the information you have.
Always trust your intuition, which resembles a hidden supercomputer in the mind. It can help you do the right thing at the right time if you give it a chance.
Don’t make small investments. If you’re going to put money at risk, make sure the reward is high enough to justify the time and effort you put into the investment decision.

Robertson’s wit

June 13th, 2010

Quotes

“Our mandate is to find the 200 best companies in the world and invest in them, and find the 200 worst companies in the world and go short on them. If the 200 best don’t do better than the 200 worst, you should probably be in another business.”

“When Robertson is convinced that he is right,” a former Tiger executive notes, “Julian bets the farm.”

“Hear a [stock] story, analyze and buy aggressively if it feels right.”

Investment Style — Julian Robertson

June 13th, 2010

Investment Style

Realistically speaking, there is very little the average investor can use with regard to Robertson’s approach to investing. It was highly personal. In TMG, Robertson would get input from his analysts and make all the investment decisions.

It is said that Robertson was a macro trader, and often rode worldwide trends. He argued against using fundamentals, a position that well might have led to the poor performance and liquidation of his Tiger funds in 2000.

His investment style, about which there is very little written, consisted of a “smart idea, grounded on exhaustive research, followed by a big bet.” Not exactly a practical framework that would work for the general investing public.

Robertson’s highly individualized approach served him well for a time, but when the end came, it was abrupt – a not unfamiliar phenomenon in the world of hedge fund investing.

Livermore’s wit

June 13th, 2010

Quotes

“Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do.”

“The average man doesn’t wish to be told that it is a bull or a bear market. What he desires is to be told specifically which particular stock to buy or sell. He wants to get something for nothing. He does not wish to work. He doesn’t even wish to have to think.”

“When it comes to selling stocks, it is plain that nobody can sell unless somebody wants those stocks. If you operate on a large scale, you will have to bear that in mind all the time.”

REMIMSCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR

June 13th, 2010

REMIMSCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR
“Fiction writers, clergymen and women are fond of alluding to the floor of the Stock Exchange as a boodlers’ battlefield and to Wall Street’s dally business as a fight. It is quite dramatic but utterly misleading. I do not think that my business is strife and contest. I never fight either individuals or speculative cliques. I merely differ in opinion – that is, in my reading of basic conditions. What playwrights call battles of business are not fights between human beings. They are merely tests of business vision. I try to stick to facts and facts only, and govern my actions accordingly.”

– Jesse Lauriston Livermore

REMIMSCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR

June 13th, 2010

REMIMSCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR

“The loss of money didn’t bother me. Whenever I have lost money in the stock market I have always considered that I have learned something; that if I have lost money I have gained experience, so that the money really went for a tuition fee. A man has to have experience and he has to pay for it.”

– Jesse Lauriston Livermore

REMIMSCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR

“A man must believe in himself and his judgment if he expects to make a living at this game. That is why I don’t believe in tips. If I buy stocks on Smith’s tip I must sell those same stocks on Smith’s tip. I am depending on him. Suppose Smith is away on a holiday when the selling time comes around? No, sir, nobody can make big money on what someone else tells his to do. I know from experience that nobody can give me a tip or a series of tips that will make more money for me than my own judgment.”

– Jesse Lauriston Livermore

REMIMSCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR

June 13th, 2010

“In fact, I always made money when I was sure I was right before I began. What beat me was not having brains enough to stick to my own game – that is to play the market only when I was satisfied that precedents favoured my play. There is a time for all things, but I didn’t know it. And that is precisely what beats so many men in Wall Street who are very far from being in the main sucker class. There is that plain fool, who does the wrong thing all the times everywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool, who thinks he must trade all the time. No man can always have adequate reasons for buying or selling stocks daily – or sufficient knowledge to make his play an intelligent play.”

– Jesse Lauriston Livermore

REMINISCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR

“Throughout all my years of investing I’ve found that the big money was never made in the buying or the selling. The big money was always made in the waiting.”

– Jesse Livermore

Emotions

June 13th, 2010

“There are only two emotions in the market — hope and fear. The problem is, you hope when you should fear, and you fear when you should hope.”

– Jesse Livemore

Probing Strategy

June 13th, 2010

Livermore’s probing strategy consisted of taking small positions at the beginning of a trade. If a trade turned out to be successful he would add more shares and continue buying (or shorting) as long as the action was proceeding in the way he thought it was to proceed, which was his pyramiding strategy. He always averaged up in price instead of averaging down, which in his day and for most today is the more popular way, but it is not the most profitable way.

– Lessons From The Greatest Stock Traders
By JOHN BOIK

Pyramiding Strategy

June 13th, 2010

Pyramiding was buying more of a stock as it kept advancing in price. Imagine how different this strategy must have seemed in those early years, as most people are taught to purchase things at lower prices in order to get a bargain, as opposed to paying higher prices. This concept of adding to your most recent purchases when they prove you were right compounds your returns . Livermore discovered that after he would purchase a stock from observing its price action, if the stock kept increasing in price, the action of the stock was proving to him that he had made the right decision. This confirmation of his correct decision was proof enough for him to continue purchasing more of the stock. This compounding effect would only add more to his increasing gains on those particular stocks.

– Lessons From The Greatest Stock Traders
By JOHN BOIK